Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.176147 0.209210 0.246303 0.290931 0.343103 0.402095 0.473787
2025-06-01 0.128087 0.170641 0.223632 0.294187 0.385355 0.498847 0.650474
2025-06-08 0.096509 0.140283 0.199258 0.283949 0.401781 0.559139 0.784287
2025-06-15 0.080700 0.126008 0.191100 0.290482 0.437213 0.644444 0.957474
2025-06-22 0.067892 0.112950 0.181454 0.291812 0.463384 0.717700 1.120170
2025-06-29 0.056868 0.100287 0.169811 0.287413 0.478986 0.775552 1.264841
2025-07-06 0.048250 0.089820 0.159650 0.283195 0.493225 0.831466 1.410953
2025-07-13 0.043917 0.085826 0.159312 0.294628 0.533537 0.931922 1.637430
2025-07-20 0.041714 0.085217 0.164530 0.315957 0.592576 1.068477 1.936568
2025-07-27 0.038627 0.082391 0.165252 0.329081 0.638321 1.186503 2.215093
2025-08-03 0.034223 0.076231 0.158834 0.327946 0.657714 1.259844 2.421569
2025-08-10 0.029238 0.068038 0.147297 0.315327 0.653792 1.290250 2.552561
2025-08-17 0.024435 0.059641 0.134593 0.299613 0.643843 1.311892 2.676544
2025-08-24 0.021984 0.056076 0.131470 0.303310 0.673380 1.412464 2.963115
2025-08-31 0.018785 0.050159 0.122331 0.292801 0.672141 1.452281 3.134283
2025-09-07 0.017245 0.047963 0.121140 0.299528 0.708099 1.570261 3.473961
2025-09-14 0.015549 0.045050 0.117826 0.300896 0.732354 1.666255 3.777389
2025-09-21 0.013735 0.041473 0.112353 0.296369 0.742644 1.733432 4.026138
2025-09-28 0.012168 0.038261 0.107272 0.292027 0.752712 1.800895 4.281733
2025-10-05 0.011534 0.037582 0.108576 0.303795 0.802447 1.961358 4.758190
2025-10-12 0.011374 0.038270 0.113590 0.325748 0.879500 2.191123 5.411940
2025-10-19 0.010856 0.037773 0.115313 0.339254 0.936988 2.380824 5.990373
2025-10-26 0.009839 0.035514 0.111779 0.338087 0.956923 2.483658 6.374666